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 Chinese
Nuclear Forces
China is seen
by the U.S. military as an important and increasing long-term
nuclear threat. As such, U.S. nuclear planners
reinstated China into SIOP (since
renamed OPLAN 8044) nuclear planning in
1998 and has begun realigning U.S. nuclear
strategy to take China's modernization into
account for the long run.
The Central
Intelligence Agency
estimated in
2001 that China's
nuclear forces will increase
"severalfold" by 2015, and that the
number of nuclear warheads that are primarily
targeted on the United States will increase from
about 20 today to 75-100 in the same timeframe. Only time
can tell if that will happen, but past U.S. assessments of the
size of China's nuclear stockpile have
proven highly excessive.
The following items provide analysis and FOIA documents
on Chinese nuclear forces and U.S.-Chinese relations:
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Report: Chinese Nuclear Forces and U.S. Nuclear War
Planning.
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Chinese Nuclear Forces 2006.
»
Elusive Submarine Cave Spotted.
»
U.S.
Defense Intelligence Agency estimate on
Chinese nuclear forces (1984 with
projections for 1989 and 1994).
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