The Warfighter's View study was
published in December 1996, only a few months
after completion of the
Post-START II Arms
Control study. The political context was the
upcoming Helsinki meeting during which the U.S.
and Russia would agree to a START III framework
for reducing strategic nuclear forces to
2,000-2,500 warheads.
As with many of the previous
studies of the 1990s, the study emphasized
STRATCOM's nuclear warfighting philosophy. Up
front the study stated that the guidance for
employment of nuclear weapons remained
"unchanged." This meant that the White
House guidance that provided the military with
the broad lines for how to plan the nation's
nuclear forces were the same as those used at the
height of the Cold War: President Ronald Reagan's
National Security Decision Directive from October
1981.
As with several of the previous
force structure studies, the Warfighter's
Assessment concluded that as the overall number
of weapons continued to decline in the future,
the characteristics of the force mix would become
increasingly important both for deterrence and
warfighting. The implication was that the
flexibility of the remaining forces had to be
maintained under future arms control treaties in
order to cover all potential targets.
The study concluded that,
"credible, effective deterrence is a package
deal" which involves many of the traditional
warfighting principles from the Cold War,
including:
In this study STRATCOM began
arguing that force structure planning did not
simply involve reducing nuclear forces and
maintaining what was left, but required
modernizing the weapons and providing an
industrial infrastructure capable of supporting
the arsenal. America would soon need to invest
significant resources in the next generation of
the nuclear forces needed for an enduring nuclear
posture. The political background for this was
the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Plan
drawn up by the Clinton administration as a means
to ensure a continued capability to certify the
reliability of nuclear weapons without live
nuclear testing well beyond their designed
service life. Not surprisingly, this plan was
also much more and soon ballooned into an
unprecedented spending spree for new
under-budgeted and delayed hardware for the
nuclear laboratories (see NRDC's
Weaponeers
of Waste, April 2004).
The Warfighter's Assessment
study also reiterated the national security
objective of maintaining a nuclear posture that
would "make outcome of conflict uncertain
and dangerous" for an opponent. This
uncertainty objective echoed one of the main
conclusions of a deterrence study conducted for
CINCSTRAT General Habiger by the Strategic
Advisory Group in 1995, a study that National
Security Council official Robert Bell upon
disclosure in 1998 assured the press did not
reflect official national policy. One year later,
in 1999, this objective was used repeatedly when
the Clinton administration rejected German and
Canadian calls for a change in the NATO's nuclear
first-use-policy.
A copy of the Warfighter's
View study can be downloaded from the right-hand column.